The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Luca 31.3%
Draw 29%
Città di SantAgata 39.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31%
29.5%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.2%
29.7%
39.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Luca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Città di SantAgata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Luca than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di SantAgata than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Pelle A. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches San Luca won 1.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Città di SantAgata could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 6 head-to-head matches San Luca won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-14.
Including matches at home between the teams San Luca won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.