Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 20

Date: 10 January 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	San Luca		Locri

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.5	3.6
	1.89	3.66	3.66
	1.89	3.66	3.28
	1.75	3.5	3.5
	1.87	3.56	3.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.25)	3.58 ↑ (3.16)	3.53 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Luca
49.2%

Draw
25.2%

Locri
25.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40%

28.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

27.7%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Luca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Luca's performance.

Locri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Locri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Luca than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Luca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Locri than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Locri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

San Luca - Locri Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. San Luca will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Locri will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches San Luca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams San Luca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD San Luca
Italian Serie D - Group I
20.12.23	San Luca - Canicattì	2:0 ✺
17.12.23	Real Casalnuovo - San Luca	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	San Luca - Akragas	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Vibonese - San Luca	5:1 ✺
26.11.23	San Luca - Castrovillari	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTTLT
- AC Locri 1909
Italian Serie D - Group I
17.12.23	Locri - Acireale	2:2 ✺
10.12.23	Reggina - Locri	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	Locri - Igea Virtus Barcellona	2:1 ✺
26.11.23	Sancataldese - Locri	4:1 ✺
12.11.23	Locri - Canicattì	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
10.09.23	Locri - San Luca	1:0
29.01.23	San Luca - Locri	2:4
05.10.22	Locri - San Luca	1:1

San Luca - Locri