Match Info

Date: 26 January 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	San Luca		Rende

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San Luca
41.5%

Draw
29.6%

Rende
28.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.7%

28%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

19.6%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Luca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Luca's form might have worsened.

Rende has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Luca than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Luca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rende than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rende could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 14).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

San Luca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

San Luca will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches San Luca won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams San Luca won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD San Luca
Italian Serie D - Group I
23.01.22	Troina - San Luca	1:1 ✺
22.12.21	San Luca - Giarre	4:1 ✺
08.12.21	Sancataldese - San Luca	1:0 ✺
04.12.21	San Luca - Cittanovese	1:1 ✺
28.11.21	Trapani - San Luca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLTL
- SS Rende
Italian Serie D - Group I
23.01.22	Rende - Lamezia Terme	1:1 ✺
19.01.22	Rende - Gelbison Cilento	1:2 ✺
22.12.21	Real Agro Aversa - Rende	0:1 ✺
19.12.21	Rende - Portici	1:1 ✺
05.12.21	Biancavilla - Rende	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TLWTW

San Luca - Rende