Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group D - Round 17

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday


	San Marino Calcio		United Riccione

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.9	5
	1.54	4	5
	1.54	4.1	5.13
	1.62	4	4
	1.5	4.1	5.32
	1.54	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (2.69)	4.02 ↑ (3.13)	4.91 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Marino Calcio
58.9%

Draw
22.6%

United Riccione
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

29%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

29.6%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Marino Calcio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Marino Calcio's performance.

United Riccione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and United Riccione might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marino Calcio than the current prediction. (-24.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Marino Calcio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for United Riccione than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that United Riccione could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	15.4%	0%

San Marino Calcio - United Riccione Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. San Marino will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Marino: 65% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+12', 1 - 0, Arcopinto A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
90+2', 2 - 0, Muro A. ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Marino Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
15.12.24	Forlì - San Marino Calcio	3:1 ✺
08.12.24	Imolese - San Marino Calcio	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	San Marino Calcio - Sammaurese	0:0 ✺
17.11.24	San Marino Calcio - Piacenza	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Tuttocuoio - San Marino Calcio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LLTWT
- United Riccione
Italian Serie D - Group D
15.12.24	United Riccione - Sammaurese	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Piacenza - United Riccione	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	United Riccione - Imolese	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Sasso Marconi - United Riccione	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Prato - United Riccione	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TLWWT

San Marino Calcio - United Riccione: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide