Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 33

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	San Sebastian Reyes		Real Madrid C

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.6	3.55	4.85
	1.61	3.66	5.46
	1.65	3.52	5.07	Watch
	1.62	3.3	5
	1.59	3.5	5.43
	1.61	3.5	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 (1.61)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	5.1 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Sebastian Reyes
56.4%

Draw
25.8%

Real Madrid C
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

25.7%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

24.5%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Sebastian Reyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Real Madrid C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

San Sebastian Reyes - Real Madrid C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Gonzalez A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
84', 0 - 2, Arnuncio A. ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 3, Leiva A. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 12).

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, SS Reyes is seen as the favorite.

We predict that SS Reyes will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, SS Reyes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, SS Reyes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	San Sebastian Reyes	5	3	1	1	7:3	4	10
18	Real Madrid C	5	0	3	2	1:4	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.04.26	Orihuela - San Sebastian Reyes	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	San Sebastian Reyes - Getafe B	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Intercity - San Sebastian Reyes	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	San Sebastian Reyes - Colonia Moscardó	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	San Sebastian Reyes - Conquense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWWT
- Real Madrid C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.04.26	Real Madrid C - Colonia Moscardó	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Las Palmas B - Real Madrid C	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Real Madrid C - Coria	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Fuenlabrada - Real Madrid C	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Real Madrid C - Rayo Vallecano B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.01.26	Real Madrid C - San Sebastian Reyes	1:2
22.03.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Real Madrid C	1:0
10.11.24	Real Madrid C - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.04.13	Real Madrid C - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0

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