The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SanGiovanniValdarno 45.3%
Draw 30.4%
Montespaccato 24.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
31.1%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
28.6%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SanGiovanniValdarno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Montespaccato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SanGiovanniValdarno than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SanGiovanniValdarno that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montespaccato than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out)).
Recent matches SanGiovanniValdarno is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Montespaccato is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Montespaccato could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
SanGiovanniValdarno will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches SanGiovanniValdarno won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.
Including matches at home between the teams SanGiovanniValdarno won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
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