Match Info

Date: 23 April 2022, Saturday


	Sand		DJK Ammerthal

	1	X	2
	3	3.9	1.87
	2.9	3.8	1.9
	3.15	3.85	1.8
	3.44	4.21	1.86
	3.05	4	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.5)	3.95 ↑ (3.75)	1.87 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sand
29%

Draw
22.8%

DJK Ammerthal
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

23.4%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

22.2%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

DJK Ammerthal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sand than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sand that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for DJK Ammerthal than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that DJK Ammerthal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sand won 0.

Sand has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ammerthal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ammerthal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ammerthal is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sand won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Sand won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Sand
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
18.04.22	Bayern Hof - Sand	2:0 ✺
16.04.22	ATSV Erlangen - Sand	5:0 ✺
06.04.22	Sand - Feucht	1:2 ✺
26.03.22	Sand - Cham	2:3 ✺
19.03.22	Würzburger FV - Sand	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- DJK Ammerthal
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
20.04.22	DJK Ammerthal - Neumarkt	2:4 ✺
16.04.22	DJK Ammerthal - DJK Don Bosco Bamberg	0:5 ✺
13.04.22	Eintracht Bamberg - DJK Ammerthal	1:1 ✺
26.03.22	Karlburg - DJK Ammerthal	1:3 ✺
20.03.22	DJK Ammerthal - Vilzing	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
25.09.21	DJK Ammerthal - Sand	4:0
03.10.20	DJK Ammerthal - Sand	2:0
17.08.19	Sand - DJK Ammerthal	1:1
27.10.18	Sand - DJK Ammerthal	2:0
31.03.18	DJK Ammerthal - Sand	3:3
02.09.17	Sand - DJK Ammerthal	1:1
20.11.16	DJK Ammerthal - Sand	2:2

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