Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 29

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Sant Andreu		Vilafranca

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.5	7
	1.35	3.95	5.75
	1.39	4.13	6.61
	1.36	4.55	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.3)	4.28 ↓ (5)	6.74 ↓ (7.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sant Andreu
65.8%

Draw
20.9%

Vilafranca
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

18.2%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

17.5%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sant Andreu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Vilafranca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sant Andreu than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sant Andreu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilafranca than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Sant Andreu - Vilafranca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sant Andreu won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Vilafranca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sant Andreu is indisputable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sant Andreu won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sant Andreu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Sant Andreu
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
09.04.23	Girona B - Sant Andreu	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	Sant Andreu - CE Europa	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Montañesa - Sant Andreu	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Sant Andreu - Vilassar de Mar	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	LHospitalet - Sant Andreu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTTTW
- FC Vilafranca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
07.04.23	Vilafranca - Badalona	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	San Cristóbal - Vilafranca	3:0 ✺
26.03.23	Vilafranca - UE Sants	3:2 ✺
19.03.23	Rapitenca - Vilafranca	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Vilafranca - Peralada	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
11.12.22	Vilafranca - Sant Andreu	1:1
23.04.22	Vilafranca - Sant Andreu	1:0
18.12.21	Sant Andreu - Vilafranca	0:1
15.12.19	Sant Andreu - Vilafranca	0:0
11.11.18	Sant Andreu - Vilafranca	1:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
11.03.18	Vilafranca - Sant Andreu	0:2
15.10.17	Sant Andreu - Vilafranca	1:2

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