The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sant Rafel 43.1%
Draw 29.2%
Llosetense 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.4%
28.8%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.4%
19.5%
41%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sant Rafel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Llosetense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sant Rafel than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sant Rafel that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llosetense than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llosetense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Recent matches Sant Rafel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Llosetense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Sant Rafel will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Sant Rafel won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Sant Rafel won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.