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Current Win Probability
Sant Rafel 30.6%
Draw 30.9%
Platges de Calvià 38.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.3%
30.6%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.3%
21.8%
53.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sant Rafel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Platges de Calvià has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sant Rafel than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sant Rafel that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platges de Calvià than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Platges de Calvià could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sant Rafel - Platges de Calvià Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Sant Rafel has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Platges de Calvià is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Platges de Calvià could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sant Rafel won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Sant Rafel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.