The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sant Rafel 59.3%
Draw 24.5%
Santa Catalina Atlético 16.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.8%
25.9%
22.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.9%
17%
33.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sant Rafel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sant Rafel's performance.
Santa Catalina Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Catalina Atlético might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sant Rafel than the current prediction. (-25.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sant Rafel that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Catalina Atlético than the current prediction. (+17.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Catalina Atlético could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sant Rafel - Santa Catalina Atlético Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 8 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 11 (Relegation Group) and 9 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 11 (Relegation Group)).
Sant Rafel is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Santa Catalina Atlético is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Sant Rafel is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Sant Rafel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Sant Rafel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.