Match Info

Date: 6 December 2020, Sunday


	Santa Ana		Moratalaz

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.2	1.83
	3.8	2.95	1.82
	4.3	3.1	1.8
	4.84	3.21	1.85
	4.1	3.4	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (3.7)	3.17 ↓ (3.3)	1.82 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Ana
21.8%

Draw
28.5%

Moratalaz
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

27.3%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

21.8%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Ana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Moratalaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Ana than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moratalaz than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moratalaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santa Ana - Moratalaz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 7 (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 7 (Second stage)).

Santa Ana has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Moratalaz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Moratalaz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Moratalaz have a series of home games.

In this match Moratalaz is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Santa Ana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- DAV Santa Ana
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
29.11.20	Complutense Alcalá - Santa Ana	0:0 ✺
22.11.20	Santa Ana - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:5 ✺
15.11.20	Rayo Vallecano B - Santa Ana	1:0 ✺
08.11.20	Santa Ana - Unión Adarve	0:3 ✺
01.11.20	Flat Earth - Santa Ana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLLLL
- ED Moratalaz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
29.11.20	Moratalaz - Torrejón	1:1 ✺
15.11.20	Moratalaz - Paracuellos Antamira	1:0 ✺
08.11.20	Moratalaz - San Fernando de Henares	5:1 ✺
01.11.20	Complutense Alcalá - Moratalaz	2:1 ✺
25.10.20	Moratalaz - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
05.01.20	Moratalaz - Santa Ana	2:1
Club Friendly
10.08.19	Moratalaz - Santa Ana	4:2

Santa Ana - Moratalaz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide