Match Info

COSTA RICA: LIGA DE ASCENSO - APERTURA - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Santa Ana		Santa Cruz PFA

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.9	3.7
	1.77	3.75	3.54
	1.78	3.75	3.54
	1.85	4	3
	1.74	3.96	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.18)	3.87 ↑ (3.64)	3.48 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Ana
50.9%

Draw
23.2%

Santa Cruz PFA
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

25%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

24%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Ana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Ana's performance.

Santa Cruz PFA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Cruz PFA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Ana than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Ana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz PFA than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz PFA could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Santa Ana is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Antioquia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Antioquia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Santa Ana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Santa Ana
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
13.11.23	Santa Cruz PFA - Santa Ana	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Escorpiones de Belén - Santa Ana	3:4 ✺
28.10.23	Santa Ana - Desamparados	2:2 ✺
21.10.23	Santa Ana - Turrialba	4:1 ✺
15.10.23	Cariari Pococí - Santa Ana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWTWL
- Santa Cruz PFA
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
13.11.23	Santa Cruz PFA - Santa Ana	1:2 ✺
29.10.23	Santa Cruz PFA - Jacó	4:0 ✺
21.10.23	Cofutpa - Santa Cruz PFA	4:3 ✺
13.10.23	Carmelita - Santa Cruz PFA	4:0 ✺
08.10.23	Santa Cruz PFA - Quepos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
13.11.23	Santa Cruz PFA - Santa Ana	1:2

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