The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Cruz RJ 57.8%
Draw 24.7%
Macaé 17.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.9%
29.3%
26.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
29.4%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Cruz RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Cruz RJ's performance.
Macaé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Macaé might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz RJ than the current prediction. (-14.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Cruz RJ that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macaé than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Macaé could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Santa Cruz RJ - Macaé Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Cruz RJ (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
63', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,
Preview
1st leg result: 0-2. 2nd leg.
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca B2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca B2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Now, both teams are in good form.
Macaé may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Santa Cruz RJ has had a series of away games.
Santa Cruz RJ could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz RJ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, Santa Cruz RJ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.