Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Round 10

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday


	Santa Cruz-RS		GE Bagé

	1	X	2
	2.00	2.80	3.75
	2	2.82	3.7
	2.09	2.88	3.5
	2.01	3.01	3.82	Watch
	2.06	2.85	3.45
	1.94	3.09	4.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.83)	2.91 ↑ (2.8)	3.72 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz-RS
44.7%

Draw
31%

GE Bagé
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

31.1%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

29.1%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz-RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

GE Bagé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz-RS than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Cruz-RS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GE Bagé than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Santa Cruz RS - GE Bagé Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 11).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Santa Cruz-RS is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz-RS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Cruz-RS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz-RS
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
06.09.26	Frederiquense - Santa Cruz-RS	0:0 ✺
02.09.26	Santa Cruz-RS - EC Pelotas	0:0 ✺
19.08.26	Passo Fundo - Santa Cruz-RS	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Santa Cruz-RS - Gramadense	2:1 ✺
13.08.26	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Santa Cruz-RS	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTLWT
- GE Bagé
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
06.09.26	GE Bagé - Gaúcho	1:1 ✺
01.09.26	GE Bagé - Passo Fundo	1:1 ✺
26.08.26	GE Bagé - EC Guarani	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - GE Bagé	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Aimoré - GE Bagé	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
27.07.25	Santa Cruz-RS - GE Bagé	1:0
08.07.23	Santa Cruz-RS - GE Bagé	0:1

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