Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 18Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday
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Santanyí |
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Binissalem |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.38 |
2.88 |
2.98 |
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2.38 |
2.96 |
3.04 |
Watch |
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2.3 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
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2.4 |
3.23 |
2.92 |
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2.4 |
2.85 |
3 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.37 ↑ (2.12) |
2.96 ↓ (3.25) |
2.97 ↓ (3.15) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Santanyí 38.5% | Draw 30.8% | Binissalem 30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santanyí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Binissalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santanyí than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santanyí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Binissalem than the current prediction. (-2.5%)Santanyí - Binissalem Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 65', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santanyí won 1.In recent matches, Santanyí has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Binissalem is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Santanyí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Santanyí will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Santanyí won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Santanyí won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Santanyi | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
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| 14 | Binissalem | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 | | | 07.09.25 | Binissalem - Santanyí | 1:0 | | 11.04.25 | Santanyí - Binissalem | 2:0 | | 30.11.24 | Binissalem - Santanyí | 1:1 | | 20.04.24 | Santanyí - Binissalem | 1:1 | | 02.12.23 | Binissalem - Santanyí | 1:0 | | 26.02.23 | Santanyí - Binissalem | 1:2 | | 22.10.22 | Binissalem - Santanyí | 1:2 |
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