Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Santanyí		Platges de Calvià

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.88	2.58
	2.72	2.86	2.55
	2.76	2.9	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.74)	2.88 ↑ (2.87)	2.56 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santanyí
33.2%

Draw
31.5%

Platges de Calvià
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

31.7%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

32.3%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Santanyí have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Platges de Calvià has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santanyí than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platges de Calvià than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Santanyí - Platges de Calvià Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
15', 0 - 1, Dosil I. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Dosil I. ⚽,
35', 0 - 3, Dosil I. ⚽,
39', 1 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santanyí won 1.

In recent matches, Santanyí has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Platges de Calvià is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Platges de Calvià may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Platges de Calvià has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Santanyí won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Santanyí won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santanyí
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
19.10.25	Formentera - Santanyí	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Llosetense - Santanyí	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Santanyí - Cardassar	4:1 ✺
20.09.25	Manacor - Santanyí	5:1 ✺
13.09.25	Santanyí - Mercadal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TTWLW
- CF Platges de Calvià
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
22.10.25	Alcúdia - Platges de Calvià	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Platges de Calvià - Son Cladera	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Platges de Calvià - Inter Ibiza	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Platges de Calvià - Mallorca B	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Platges de Calvià - Constancia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
04.05.25	Platges de Calvià - Santanyí	2:1
21.12.24	Santanyí - Platges de Calvià	0:0
23.03.24	Santanyí - Platges de Calvià	0:0
04.11.23	Platges de Calvià - Santanyí	1:0
28.01.23	Santanyí - Platges de Calvià	2:0
25.09.22	Platges de Calvià - Santanyí	1:2
06.03.22	Platges de Calvià - Santanyí	0:0

Santanyí - Platges de Calvià: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide