Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 26

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Lo Barnechea (Santiago de Chile)


	Santiago City		Deportes Melipilla

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.55	1.98
	2.87	3.65	2.16
	3.04	3.90	2.00	Watch
	3.14	3.48	2.02
	2.83	3.5	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.04)	3.62 ↓ (3.9)	2.06 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Santiago City
30.5%

Draw
25.2%

Deportes Melipilla
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

23.6%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

22.8%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Deportes Melipilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago City than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Santiago City - Deportes Melipilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Meyer T. (G) 27. Arias B. 32. Carmona F. 14. Claveria N. 25. Contreras J. 6. Diaz A. 10. Medel de la Fuente M. 26. Montoya D. 7. Saez M. 23. Silva Alamos M. I. 9. Vega Arrieta Z. D.	34. Santelices L. (G) 28. Arce L. 16. Arenas F. 10. Becica A. 27. Caceres B. 30. Demateis V. 4. Fuentes B. 7. Inostroza B. 24. Luarte G. 17. Magana C. 23. Martinez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Luarte G. ⚽,
45', Magana C. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Carmona F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
47', Arenas F. 🟨,
54', 1 - 2, Fuentes B. ⚽,
69', 1 - 3, Inostroza B. ⚽,
75', Silva Alamos M. I. ↓, Barrios T. ↑,
75', Saez M. ↓, Cerda B. ↑,
76', 1 - 4, Inostroza B. ⚽,
80', Santelices L. ↓, Chacon T. ↑,
80', Arenas F. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
80', Magana C. ↓, Meneses T. ↑,
81', Inostroza B. ↓, Barros C. ↑,
84', 2 - 4, Medel de la Fuente M. ⚽,
86', Medel de la Fuente M. ↓, Sanchez O. ↑,
86', Carmona F. ↓, Pilquiman A. ↑,
89', 🟨,
89', 3 - 4, Vega Arrieta Z. D. ⚽,
90+1', Demateis V. 🟨,
90+3', Vega Arrieta Z. D. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 4).

Santiago City has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Melipilla has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Melipilla could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santiago City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago City FC
Chilean Segunda Division
22.11.25	Provincial Osorno - Santiago City	3:3 ✺
09.11.25	Brujas Salamanca - Santiago City	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Santiago City - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	San Antonio Unido - Santiago City	5:5 ✺
04.10.25	Santiago City - Deportes Rengo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLLTL
- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Segunda Division
23.11.25	Deportes Melipilla - Real San Joaquín	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Trasandino de Los Andes - Deportes Melipilla	2:4 ✺
26.10.25	Deportes Melipilla - San Antonio Unido	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Brujas Salamanca - Deportes Melipilla	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Linares	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
22.06.25	Deportes Melipilla - Santiago City	3:0

Upcoming Matches