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Current Win Probability
Santos 23.9%
Draw 24.6%
São Paulo 51.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.6%
24.4%
47%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.8%
25.1%
48.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Santos - São Paulo Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Serrana ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 0 - 2, Isa ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, Ana Alice ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, Laryh ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Paulista Women and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 3.
Santos is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
São Paulo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
São Paulo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
São Paulo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Santos won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).
Brazil
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