Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Santurtzi		San Ignacio

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.25	3.65
	1.85	3.18	4.41	Watch
	1.91	3.44	3.91
	2.12	3.15	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.28)	3.26 ↑ (3.05)	3.81 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santurtzi
47.5%

Draw
28.3%

San Ignacio
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

29.6%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

29.2%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santurtzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santurtzi's performance.

San Ignacio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Ignacio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santurtzi than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santurtzi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Ignacio than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Ignacio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santurtzi - San Ignacio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Grande I. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santurtzi won 1.

Santurtzi has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, San Ignacio has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Santurtzi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Santurtzi won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Santurtzi won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santurtzi
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
18.10.25	Derio - Santurtzi	3:0 ✺
11.10.25	Santurtzi - Touring KE	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Santurtzi - Aurrerá de Vitoria	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Leioa - Santurtzi	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Santurtzi - Eibar C	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLLW
- Club San Ignacio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
19.10.25	San Ignacio - Real Sociedad C	2:3 ✺
11.10.25	Pasaia - San Ignacio	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Deusto - San Ignacio	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	San Ignacio - Portugalete	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Derio - San Ignacio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
30.03.25	Santurtzi - San Ignacio	0:0
17.11.24	San Ignacio - Santurtzi	2:0
24.02.21	Santurtzi - San Ignacio	1:0
19.01.20	Santurtzi - San Ignacio	0:0
24.02.19	San Ignacio - Santurtzi	4:0
07.10.18	Santurtzi - San Ignacio	1:1

Santurtzi - San Ignacio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide