Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 14

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday


	Saoura		El Bayadh

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.95	8.1
	1.4	3.96	9.59	Watch
	1.4	3.6	9.5
	1.39	3.74	8.8	Watch
	1.38	3.8	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.53)	3.81 ↑ (3.59)	9.1 ↑ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saoura
65.8%

Draw
24.1%

El Bayadh
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

25.4%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

18.7%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saoura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saoura's performance.

El Bayadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saoura than the current prediction. (-21.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saoura that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Bayadh than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Bayadh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Saoura - El Bayadh Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Saoura (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Saoura (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Saoura will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Saoura (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Marhaba M. (G) 2. Akacem R. 24. Barkat A. 9. Bedi G. 21. Bentaleb O. 5. Boutiche A. 10. Fettouhi N. 14. Haddouche I. F. 20. Matallah S. 4. Mebarki F. 19. Wayou C.	1. Salhi A. (G) 27. Atallah I. 15. Belkhadem M. 24. Benyahia D. 29. Chelali A. 6. El Orfi A. 12. Haddad A. 8. Keniche M. 4. Marwani M. 23. Meddah A. 14. Yerou O.
Substitutes
23. Allaoui K. 27. Badaoui M. 25. Bouchiba A. 12. Guei S. 26. Hammia M. 8. Khoumani A. 16. Seggari Z. 29. Sikiru A. 13. Zaalani N.	9. Amokrane A. 20. Benabda Z. 28. Bouchoucha M. 16. Cherif M. (G) 10. Dahmani K. 5. Ghanem A. 18. Kaidi I. E. 26. Khiari O. 21. Mahboub A. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 2 - 1, ⚽,
64', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saoura won 3.

Saoura has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

El Bayadh is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Saoura may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Saoura has had a series of home games.

In this match, Saoura is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Saoura won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Saoura won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JS Saoura
Algerian Ligue 1
20.12.25	Saoura - Mostaganem	3:2 ✺
Algerian Cup
13.12.25	Saoura - Khroub	2:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
22.11.25	Khenchela - Saoura	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	Saoura - Paradou	1:2 ✺
03.11.25	MC Alger - Saoura	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WWLLL
- MC El Bayadh
Algerian Ligue 1
19.12.25	El Bayadh - Khenchela	1:2 ✺
Algerian Cup
04.12.25	MC Alger - El Bayadh	1:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
20.11.25	Paradou - El Bayadh	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	El Bayadh - MC Alger	0:1 ✺
03.11.25	Kabylie - El Bayadh	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
05.04.25	El Bayadh - Saoura	1:0
25.10.24	Saoura - El Bayadh	1:0
16.03.24	El Bayadh - Saoura	0:1
11.11.23	Saoura - El Bayadh	0:0
19.02.23	Saoura - El Bayadh	2:0
03.09.22	El Bayadh - Saoura	2:0

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