Match Info

TURKEY: 3. LIG GROUP 2 - ROUND 12

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Sapanca Gençlikspor		Ergene Velimeşe

	1	X	2
	3.09	2.91	2.12
	3.09	2.91	2.12
	3.2	3.2	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↓ (3.55)	3.01 ↓ (3.2)	2.11 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sapanca Gençlikspor
28.4%

Draw
29.5%

Ergene Velimeşe
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

28.4%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

27.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sapanca Gençlikspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Ergene Velimeşe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sapanca Gençlikspor than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ergene Velimeşe than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ergene Velimeşe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sapanca Gençlikspor - Ergene Velimeşe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ TFF 3. Lig Play Offs).

Sapanca Gençlikspor has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ergene Velimeşe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sapanca Gençlikspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ergene Velimeşe will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sapanca Gençlikspor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 2
12.11.23	Sapanca Gençlikspor - Turgutlu	4:5 ✺
05.11.23	Pazarspor - Sapanca Gençlikspor	4:0 ✺
28.10.23	Sapanca Gençlikspor - Yeni Amasyaspor	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Eynesil Belediyespor - Sapanca Gençlikspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
11.10.23	Sapanca Gençlikspor - Talasgücü	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- Ergene Velimeşe
Turkish 3 Lig Group 2
19.11.23	Ergene Velimeşe - Hacettepe 1945	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Bulvarspor - Ergene Velimeşe	0:1 ✺
06.11.23	Ergene Velimeşe - Efeler 09	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Kelkit - Ergene Velimeşe	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Ergene Velimeşe - Eskişehir Anadolu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWLWW

Sapanca Gençlikspor - Ergene Velimeşe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide