Match Info

Date: 26 September 2021, Sunday


	Saransk		Strogino Moskva

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.75	4.6
	1.62	3.8	4.3
	1.46	4.2	4.9
	1.5	4.3	4.72
	1.48	4.35	5.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (2.17)	4.08 ↑ (3.5)	4.8 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saransk
59.1%

Draw
22.1%

Strogino Moskva
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

25.9%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

19.3%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saransk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saransk's performance.

Strogino Moskva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Strogino Moskva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saransk than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strogino Moskva than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Strogino Moskva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Saransk - Strogino Moskva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Saransk is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Strogino is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Saransk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Saransk will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Saransk
Russian Cup
22.09.21	Saransk - Khimki	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
18.09.21	Saturn Ramenskoye - Saransk	1:3 ✺
14.09.21	Saransk - Metallurg Vidnoe	3:0 ✺
10.09.21	Peresvet Domodedovo - Saransk	2:0 ✺
04.09.21	Saransk - Rodina Moscow	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WWWLL
- FK Strogino Moskva
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
18.09.21	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Strogino Moskva	4:1 ✺
10.09.21	Khimki 2 - Strogino Moskva	0:1 ✺
04.09.21	Strogino Moskva - Saturn Ramenskoye	2:1 ✺
30.08.21	Metallurg Vidnoe - Strogino Moskva	1:4 ✺
21.08.21	Strogino Moskva - Peresvet Domodedovo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWWW

Saransk - Strogino Moskva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide