Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 10 April 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Sarmiento de Junín 2		Barracas Central 2

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.2	4.2
	1.96	3.1	3.75	Watch
	1.87	3.31	3.98	Watch
	1.82	3.84	3.84
	1.84	3.2	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.03)	3.33 ↑ (2.98)	3.97 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín 2
49.5%

Draw
27.5%

Barracas Central 2
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30.7%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

25.4%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Barracas Central 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín 2 than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarmiento de Junín 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central 2 than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barracas Central 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Barracas Central 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 1 - 0, ⚽,
70', 2 - 0, ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 11 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sarmiento 2 won 1.

Recent matches Sarmiento 2 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barracas Central 2 is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Sarmiento 2 is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sarmiento 2 won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 0.8:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Sarmiento 2 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín 2
Argentinian Reserve League
01.04.25	Rosario Central 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	1:1 ✺
19.03.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	2:2 ✺
11.03.25	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2	0:1 ✺
07.03.25	Lanús 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LTTLW
- Barracas Central 2
Argentinian Reserve League
02.04.25	Barracas Central 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Barracas Central 2	0:0 ✺
20.03.25	Barracas Central 2 - Central Córdoba 2	0:1 ✺
11.03.25	Aldosivi 2 - Barracas Central 2	4:0 ✺
06.03.25	Barracas Central 2 - Banfield 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
06.09.24	Barracas Central 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:0
04.04.24	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Barracas Central 2	1:1
19.09.23	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Barracas Central 2	1:3
02.02.23	Barracas Central 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:0
09.10.22	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Barracas Central 2	1:0
18.03.22	Barracas Central 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:2

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