Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 13 July 2026, Monday

Location: Victor Legrotaglie (Mendoza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
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	Gimnasia Mendoza 2		Sarmiento de Junín 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	2.80	3.50
	2.35	2.95	2.75	Watch
	1.85	3.15	4.26
	1.85	3.18	4.29	Watch
	1.81	3.05	4.15
	1.81	3.13	4.39
	2.04	2.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.33)	3 ↓ (3.05)	3.87 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia Mendoza 2
46.2%

Draw
30.3%

Sarmiento de Junín 2
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

29.3%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

28.2%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia Mendoza 2's performance.

Sarmiento de Junín 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarmiento de Junín 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia Mendoza 2 than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia Mendoza 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín 2 than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de Junín 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16).

Recent performances by Gimnasia Mendoza 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sarmiento 2's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gimnasia Mendoza 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Sarmiento de Junín 2 - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.45%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Argentinian Reserve League
17.06.26	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	2:1 ✺
09.06.26	Aldosivi 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	1:0 ✺
03.06.26	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	0:0 ✺
28.05.26	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	0:2 ✺
21.05.26	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLTWL
- Sarmiento de Junín 2
Argentinian Reserve League
19.06.26	Barracas Central 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:0 ✺
10.06.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	1:2 ✺
02.06.26	Banfield 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	2:1 ✺
28.05.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Rosario Central 2	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Tigre 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
04.02.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	0:0

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