Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Sarmiento de Junín 2		Atlético de Rafaela 2

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.10	3.10
	1.84	3.25	3.60
	2.37	3.12	2.99
	2.36	3.16	2.89	Watch
	2.3	3.05	2.8
	2.33	3	2.89
	2.23	3.15	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.84)	3.12 ↓ (3.25)	3.04 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín 2
41%

Draw
29.1%

Atlético de Rafaela 2
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

27.3%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

28.9%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarmiento de Junín 2's form might have worsened.

Atlético de Rafaela 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético de Rafaela 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín 2 than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarmiento de Junín 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela 2 than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético de Rafaela 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
65', 🟥,
66', 1 - 0, ⚽,
75', 2 - 0, ⚽,
89', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 5th and 7th).

Sarmiento 2 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Atl de Rafaela 2 shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Sarmiento 2 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sarmiento 2 holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Sarmiento 2 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín 2
Argentinian Reserve League
15.09.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Racing Club 2	0:1 ✺
09.09.26	Instituto 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	2:2 ✺
01.09.26	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:1 ✺
25.08.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Aldosivi 2	0:0 ✺
19.08.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTTTW
- Atlético de Rafaela 2
Argentinian Reserve League
17.09.26	Boca Juniors 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	0:0 ✺
08.09.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Independiente 2	2:1 ✺
01.09.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Platense 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Quilmes 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
22.04.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:1

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