Match Info

ARGENTINA: Reserve League - First stage - Round 11

Date: 7 May 2024, Tuesday


	Sarmiento de Junín 2		Estudiantes La Plata 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.8	3.25	1.82
	4.2	3.4	1.75	Watch
	4.26	3.35	1.83
	4.26	3.35	1.83
	4	3.5	1.73
	4.47	3.33	1.8	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (4.08)	3.37 ↓ (3.63)	1.79 (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín 2
21.9%

Draw
27.1%

Estudiantes La Plata 2
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

25.5%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

25.4%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Estudiantes La Plata 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín 2 than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata 2 than the current prediction. (+1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Contrera M. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (First stage ~ Play Offs: )).

Sarmiento 2 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Estudiantes La Plata 2 is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Estudiantes La Plata 2 is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sarmiento 2 won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Sarmiento 2 won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín 2
Argentinian Reserve League
24.04.24	Central Córdoba 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:0 ✺
18.04.24	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:2 ✺
10.04.24	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:1 ✺
04.04.24	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Barracas Central 2	1:1 ✺
28.03.24	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWTL
- Estudiantes La Plata 2
Argentinian Reserve League
25.04.24	Newells Old Boys 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	2:0 ✺
18.04.24	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	3:2 ✺
10.04.24	Lanús 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	2:2 ✺
04.04.24	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	3:1 ✺
26.03.24	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
14.10.23	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	2:2
25.02.23	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:1
15.06.22	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:1

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