Match Info
Division 3 - Group 6 - Round 19Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday
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Sarpsborg 2 |
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Lillehammer |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
5.50 |
5.75 |
1.32 |
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11.5 |
7.3 |
1.11 |
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9.74 |
7.43 |
1.14 |
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12.26 |
7.55 |
1.15 |
 Watch |
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13 |
7.75 |
1.06 |
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10 |
9.04 |
1.15 |
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2.7 |
4.2 |
2 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9.24 ↑
(2.55) |
7 ↑
(3.9) |
1.28 ↓
(2.07) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
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Sarpsborg 2
10.5% | Draw
13.8% | Lillehammer
75.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarpsborg 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarpsborg 2's form might have worsened.Lillehammer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+33%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lillehammer's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 2 than the current prediction. (+22.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarpsborg 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillehammer than the current prediction. (-31.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lillehammer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Sarpsborg 2 - Lillehammer Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +2.5 - Sarpsborg 2 (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5 - over (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarpsborg 2 (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Bengescu A. F. ⚽,
- 27', 2 - 0, Bakkenget M. ⚽,
- 42', 2 - 1, Hammershaug S. ⚽,
- 45', 3 - 1, Gabrielsen L. B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion).Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Sarpsborg 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Lillehammer is expected to have a slight advantage in this match. The teams have not played against each other recently.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lillehammer | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 83:32 | 51 | 53 |
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| 11 | Sarpsborg 08 2 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 50:53 | -3 | 28 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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