Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 3 - GROUP 6 - ROUND 13

Date: 29 July 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Sarpsborg 2		Mjølner

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Sarpsborg 2
32.7%

Draw
22.4%

Mjølner
44.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.2%

24.3%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

24%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarpsborg 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Mjølner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mjølner's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 2 than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjølner than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mjølner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent matches Sarpsborg 2 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mjølner is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sarpsborg 2 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarpsborg 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
24.07.23	Asker Fotball - Sarpsborg 2	5:1 ✺
26.06.23	Sarpsborg 2 - Follo	0:2 ✺
17.06.23	Oppsal - Sarpsborg 2	2:2 ✺
10.06.23	Sarpsborg 2 - HIF Stein	5:0 ✺
03.06.23	Sri Lanka Air Force - Sarpsborg 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LLTWW
- Mjølner
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
23.07.23	Oppsal - Mjølner	1:1 ✺
25.06.23	Mjølner - Asker Fotball	1:2 ✺
17.06.23	Fløya - Mjølner	3:3 ✺
11.06.23	Mjølner - Lørenskog	0:3 ✺
03.06.23	Skeid 2 - Mjølner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLTLL

Sarpsborg 2 - Mjølner