Match Info

Division 3 - Group 6 - Round 9

Date: 9 June 2025, Monday


	Sarpsborg 2		Stabæk 2

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.75	3.4
				Watch
	2.57	4.53	2.09	Watch
	2.45	4.25	2.15
	1.6	4.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.64)	4.18 ↓ (4.2)	2.96 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sarpsborg 2
45.2%

Draw
22.7%

Stabæk 2
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

21.6%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

20.8%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarpsborg 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarpsborg 2's form might have worsened.

Stabæk 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stabæk 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 2 than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarpsborg 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk 2 than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stabæk 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Sarpsborg 2 - Stabæk 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sarpsborg 2 will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Stabæk 2 will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stabæk 2: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Stabæk 2 (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Stabæk 2 (2.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Stabæk 2 (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sarpsborg 2 (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stabæk 2 will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarpsborg 2 (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Stabæk 2 (votes: 12 - 92.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
90', 1 - 0, Bahtijaragic I. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 0, Sene Y. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 7).

Sarpsborg 2 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Stabæk 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Stabæk 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sarpsborg 2 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Sarpsborg 2 is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Sarpsborg 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarpsborg 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
02.06.25	Grei - Sarpsborg 2	1:2 ✺
12.05.25	Fredrikstad 2 - Sarpsborg 2	2:6 ✺
05.05.25	Kvik Halden - Sarpsborg 2	3:2 ✺
28.04.25	Sarpsborg 2 - Oppsal	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Flint - Sarpsborg 2	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLTW
- Stabæk 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
01.06.25	Stabæk 2 - Oppsal	0:0 ✺
25.05.25	Pors 2 - Stabæk 2	0:0 ✺
13.05.25	Stabæk 2 - Odd 2	4:3 ✺
03.05.25	Lokomotiv Oslo - Stabæk 2	1:2 ✺
28.04.25	Stabæk 2 - Fram Larvik	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
26.10.19	Stabæk 2 - Sarpsborg 2	0:4
29.04.19	Sarpsborg 2 - Stabæk 2	3:2

Sarpsborg 2 - Stabæk 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide