Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Sarrabus Ogliastra		Trastevere

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.35	1.98
	3.17	3.43	2.06	Watch
	3.15	3.3	2.08
	3.45	3.45	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.45)	3.38 ↓ (3.45)	2.01 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarrabus Ogliastra
28%

Draw
26.9%

Trastevere
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarrabus Ogliastra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Trastevere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarrabus Ogliastra than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trastevere than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Sarrabus Ogliastra - Trastevere Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Anedda W. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Lorusso D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 🟥,
51', 2 - 1, ⚽,
79', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )).

Sarrabus Ogliastra has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Trastevere is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Trastevere is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sarrabus Ogliastra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Sarrabus Ogliastra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Trastevere Calcio	6	3	2	1	8:10	-2	11
15	Sarrabus Ogliastra	6	1	2	3	5:8	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarrabus Ogliastra
Italian Serie D - Group G
15.02.26	Anzio - Sarrabus Ogliastra	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Monastir	1:3 ✺
01.02.26	Scafatese - Sarrabus Ogliastra	3:0 ✺
25.01.26	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Flaminia Civita Castellana	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Ischia Isolaverde - Sarrabus Ogliastra	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLLW
- Trastevere Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
15.02.26	Trastevere - Valmontone	5:0 ✺
08.02.26	Cassino - Trastevere	1:3 ✺
01.02.26	Trastevere - Real Monterotondo	3:0 ✺
25.01.26	Montespaccato - Trastevere	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Trastevere - Budoni	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
19.10.25	Trastevere - Sarrabus Ogliastra	2:2
16.02.25	Trastevere - Sarrabus Ogliastra	3:1
20.10.24	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Trastevere	0:2
04.02.24	Trastevere - Sarrabus Ogliastra	2:3

Sarrabus Ogliastra - Trastevere: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide