Match Info

Oberliga Hamburg - Round 10

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Sasel		ETSV Hamburg

	1	X	2
	5.35	4.85	1.39
	5.67	4.8	1.4	Watch
	5.2	4.75	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.41 ↑ (5.33)	4.8 ↑ (4.75)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sasel
16.7%

Draw
18.8%

ETSV Hamburg
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.2%

19.3%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

18.6%

66%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sasel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ETSV Hamburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sasel than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ETSV Hamburg than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Sasel - ETSV Hamburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2).

Sasel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

ETSV Hamburg is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, ETSV Hamburg is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sasel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sasel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Sasel
German Oberliga Hamburg
21.09.25	Vorwärts-Wacker - Sasel	2:4 ✺
14.09.25	Sasel - Victoria Hamburg	0:3 ✺
07.09.25	Niendorfer - Sasel	4:1 ✺
31.08.25	Sasel - Türkiye Wilhelmsburg	5:0 ✺
17.08.25	Sasel - Paloma Hamburg	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLWT
- ETSV Hamburg
German Oberliga Hamburg
21.09.25	ETSV Hamburg - Süderelbe	4:0 ✺
14.09.25	Vorwärts-Wacker - ETSV Hamburg	0:5 ✺
05.09.25	ETSV Hamburg - Eimsbütteler	1:3 ✺
29.08.25	Victoria Hamburg - ETSV Hamburg	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	Niendorfer - ETSV Hamburg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hamburg
13.09.24	Sasel - ETSV Hamburg	0:5
04.02.24	Sasel - ETSV Hamburg	0:1
25.08.23	ETSV Hamburg - Sasel	1:3

Sasel - ETSV Hamburg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide