Match Info

Oberliga Hamburg - Round 18

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Sasel		Süderelbe

	1	X	2
	2.82	4.35	1.9
	2.81	4.4	1.93	Watch
	2.78	4.37	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (2.82)	4.37 ↓ (4.38)	1.9 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sasel
32.1%

Draw
20.6%

Süderelbe
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

20.7%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

20.1%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Sasel have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Süderelbe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sasel than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Süderelbe than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Sasel - Süderelbe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sasel won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Süderelbe might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sasel won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 35:14. (average 3.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sasel won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 22:10. (average 3.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Suderelbe	9	3	3	3	13:11	2	12
11	Sasel	9	4	0	5	13:16	-3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Sasel
German Oberliga Hamburg
29.03.26	Sasel - Tesla Hamburg	4:4 ✺
24.03.26	Sasel - TSV Buchholz 08	1:5 ✺
15.03.26	ETSV Hamburg - Sasel	4:0 ✺
06.03.26	Sasel - Vorwärts-Wacker	5:4 ✺
04.03.26	Sasel - Niendorfer	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLWW
- FC Süderelbe
German Oberliga Hamburg
06.03.26	Süderelbe - ETSV Hamburg	2:2 ✺
03.03.26	HT 16 Hamburg - Süderelbe	3:2 ✺
27.02.26	Süderelbe - Eimsbütteler	0:0 ✺
28.11.25	Süderelbe - TuRa Harksheide	5:0 ✺
16.11.25	Vorwärts-Wacker - Süderelbe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hamburg
11.08.24	Sasel - Süderelbe	3:1
15.03.24	Süderelbe - Sasel	3:3
24.09.23	Sasel - Süderelbe	3:3
18.11.22	Süderelbe - Sasel	0:2
31.07.22	Sasel - Süderelbe	4:0
27.10.19	Sasel - Süderelbe	5:0
28.04.19	Sasel - Süderelbe	0:3

Sasel - Süderelbe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide