Match Info

ASIA: World Championship - Qualification - Third stage - Round 3

Date: 10 October 2024, Thursday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, SportKlub
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	iQIYI
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2
Mexico	ESPN 2
Montenegro	SportKlub
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Qatar	Al Kass Five, Shoof
Russia	TV Start
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP
Slovenia	Sportklub
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Vietnam	K+
World	Disney+, Onefootball app, Sport 1 Baltic


	Saudi Arabia		Japan

	1	X	2
	6	3.8	1.57	Watch
	5.5	3.8	1.6
	5.5	3.75	1.6
	6.21	3.94	1.59
	5.57	3.91	1.59	Watch
	5.5	3.9	1.55
	5.65	4	1.6	Watch
	5.5	3.75	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.68 ↑ (5)	3.86 ↑ (3.5)	1.59 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saudi Arabia
16.5%

Draw
24.3%

Japan
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

26.8%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saudi Arabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.4%	34.4%	56.2%

Saudi Arabia - Japan Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Saudi Arabia will win (votes: 3 - 10.3%). Japan will win (votes: 17 - 58.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 31%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Japan: 40.7% – 76.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Al Kassar A. (G) Al Qadisiya 17. Tambakti H. Al Hilal 4. Lajami A. Al Nassr 14. Kadesh H. Al Ittihad 12. Abdulhamid S. AS Roma 23. Yahya A. Al Nassr 8. Al Malki A. Al Ettifaq FC 6. Al Dawsari N. Al Hilal 7. Al Juwayr M. Al Shabab 9. Feras Al Brikan Al Ahli SC 19. Al Dawsari S. Al Hilal	1. Suzuki Z. (G) Parma 4. Itakura K. B. Monchengladbach 3. Taniguchi S. St. Truiden 16. Machida K. Royale Union SG 10. Doan R. Freiburg 6. Endo W. Liverpool 5. Morita H. Sporting Lisbon 7. Mitoma K. Brighton 8. Minamino T. Monaco 15. Kamada D. Crystal Palace 9. Ueda A. Feyenoord
Substitutes
13. Al Asmari A. Al Ahli SC 16. Al Ghamdi F. Beerschot VA 15. Al Khaibari A. Al Nassr 21. Al Najjar R. (G) Al Nassr 1. Al Rubaie M. (G) Al Hilal 3. Al Saluli A. Al Taawon 11. Al Shehri S. Al Ittihad 5. Al Sibyani M. Al Ettifaq FC 18. Ghareeb A. Al Nassr 2. Hamidou R. Al Ahli SC 10. Maran M. Al Nassr 20. Radif A. Al Ettifaq FC	22. Hatate R. Celtic 14. Ito J. Reims 20. Kubo T. Real Sociedad 11. Maeda D. Celtic 13. Nakamura K. Reims 19. Ogawa K. Nijmegen 18. Ohashi Y. Blackburn 12. Osako K. (G) Sanfrecce Hiroshima 21. Seko A. Grasshoppers 2. Sugawara Y. Southampton 17. Tanaka A. Leeds 23. Tani K. (G) Machida Zelvia
Coaches
Mancini R.	Moriyasu H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Kamada D. ⚽, Morita H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yahya A. ↓, Al Shehri S. ↑,
46', Minamino T. ↓, Ito J. ↑,
61', Al Juwayr M. ↓, Al Ghamdi F. ↑,
62', Machida K. 🟨,
63', Kamada D. ↓, Maeda D. ↑,
70', Abdulhamid S. 🟨,
76', Ueda A. ↓, Ogawa K. ↑,
77', Al Dawsari N. ↓, Radif A. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Ogawa K. ⚽, Ito J. (A),
82', Al Malki A. ↓, Al Khaibari A. ↑,
82', Feras Al Brikan ↓, Ghareeb A. ↑,
88', Mitoma K. ↓, Nakamura K. ↑,
88', Doan R. ↓, Kubo T. ↑,

Preview

In this match Japan is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saudi Arabia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saudi Arabia
FIFA World Cup
10.09.24	China - Saudi Arabia	1:2 ✺
05.09.24	Saudi Arabia - Indonesia	1:1 ✺
11.06.24	Saudi Arabia - Jordan	1:2 ✺
06.06.24	Pakistan - Saudi Arabia	0:3 ✺
26.03.24	Tajikistan - Saudi Arabia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WTLWT
- Japan
FIFA World Cup
10.09.24	Bahrain - Japan	0:5 ✺
05.09.24	Japan - China	7:0 ✺
11.06.24	Japan - Syria	5:0 ✺
06.06.24	Myanmar - Japan	0:5 ✺
21.03.24	Japan - North Korea	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
01.02.22	Japan - Saudi Arabia	2:0
07.10.21	Saudi Arabia - Japan	1:0
Asian Cup
21.01.19	Japan - Saudi Arabia	1:0
FIFA World Cup
05.09.17	Saudi Arabia - Japan	1:0
15.11.16	Japan - Saudi Arabia	2:1

Saudi Arabia - Japan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide