Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 27

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Schott Mainz		Homburg

	1	X	2
	3.45	4.15	1.78
	3.46	4.67	1.82
	3.45	4.62	1.72
	3.83	4.4	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↓ (5.84)	4.46 ↓ (4.65)	1.74 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schott Mainz
26.1%

Draw
20.7%

Homburg
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

19.7%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

19.1%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schott Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Schott Mainz's performance.

Homburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Homburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schott Mainz than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Schott Mainz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Homburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Schott Mainz - Homburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
33', 0 - 1, El Helwe H. ⚽,
39', Roden J. 🟥,
41', 0 - 2, El Helwe H. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 5)
53', 0 - 3, Inanoglu K. ⚽,
56', 0 - 4, Inanoglu K. ⚽,
63', 0 - 5, Qenaj A. ⚽,
81', 0 - 6, Goncalves M. ⚽,
87', 0 - 7, Busch S. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schott Mainz won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Homburg is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Schott Mainz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Schott Mainz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	FC 08 Homburg	10	4	3	3	13:13	0	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Schott Mainz
German Regionalliga Sudwest
28.03.26	Mainz II - Schott Mainz	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Schott Mainz - Astoria Walldorf	4:2 ✺
14.03.26	Hessen Kassel - Schott Mainz	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Schott Mainz - Freiburg II	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Schott Mainz - FSV Frankfurt	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWLLL
- FC 08 Homburg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
28.03.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Homburg	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Homburg - Mainz II	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Homburg	1:4 ✺
08.03.26	Homburg - Kickers Offenbach	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Astoria Walldorf - Homburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
30.09.25	Homburg - Schott Mainz	2:0
02.03.24	Schott Mainz - Homburg	1:2
29.08.23	Homburg - Schott Mainz	2:2
05.03.22	Schott Mainz - Homburg	0:3
18.09.21	Homburg - Schott Mainz	1:0
20.02.21	Homburg - Schott Mainz	2:1
15.09.20	Schott Mainz - Homburg	3:0

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