Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA NIEDERRHEIN - ROUND 12

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Schwarz-Weiß Essen		Homberg

	1	X	2
	1.87	4	3.25
	1.92	3.8	3.39
	1.93	3.8	3.39
	1.88	3.74	3.3
	1.87	4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.23)	3.87 ↑ (3.61)	3.32 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schwarz-Weiß Essen
48.5%

Draw
23.8%

Homberg
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

25.5%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

24.5%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schwarz-Weiß Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Schwarz-Weiß Essen's performance.

Homberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Homberg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schwarz-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Schwarz-Weiß Essen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Homberg than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Schwarz-Weiß Essen won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Schwarz-Weiß Essen won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Schwarz-Weiß Essen won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schwarz-Weiß Essen
German Oberliga Niederrhein
19.11.23	St Tonis - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Hamborn - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	0:4 ✺
04.11.23	Uerdingen - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	4:1 ✺
22.10.23	Büderich - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	1:4 ✺
15.10.23	Schwarz-Weiß Essen - Schonnebeck	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWL
- VfB Homberg
German Oberliga Niederrhein
19.11.23	Homberg - Schonnebeck	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Germania Ratingen - Homberg	3:0 ✺
05.11.23	Homberg - Mulheimer FC 97	3:2 ✺
22.10.23	Homberg - Adler Union Frintrop	1:2 ✺
15.10.23	Meerbusch - Homberg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Niederrhein
07.05.23	Schwarz-Weiß Essen - Homberg	2:1
30.10.22	Homberg - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	1:0
17.02.19	Homberg - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	3:2
19.08.18	Schwarz-Weiß Essen - Homberg	0:1
10.05.18	Schwarz-Weiß Essen - Homberg	1:3
17.09.17	Homberg - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	3:2
05.03.17	Homberg - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	1:0

Schwarz-Weiß Essen - Homberg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide