Match Info

UEFA Nations League - League B - Round 4

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: Hampden Park (Glasgow)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport OTT 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Nova Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 5
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Denmark	TV2 Play
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Vision+
Israel	Sport 4
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport OTT 2
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Scotland	BBC Scotland
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, SuperSport OTT 2
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport, BBC Two
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+


	Scotland		Slovenia

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.2	4.2
	1.83	3.10	5.00
	1.98	3.2	4.1
	2.02	3.3	4.55
	1.93	3.25	4.55	Watch
	1.96	3.15	4.45
	1.96	3.34	4.11	Watch
	1.98	3.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.23)	3.22 ↑ (3.19)	4.37 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scotland
48.8%

Draw
29.5%

Slovenia
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

30.4%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scotland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Scotland's performance.

Slovenia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.2%	8.2%	1.6%

Scotland - Slovenia Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Scotland will win (votes: 52 - 89.7%). Slovenia will win (votes: 1 - 1.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Scotland: 81.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Slovenia (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Scotland will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Scotland (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Slovenia (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gunn A. (G) San Jose Earthquakes 5. Welsh S. Swansea 13. Hendry J. Al Ettifaq FC 4. Binks L. Brondby 17. Gannon-Doak B. Bournemouth 7. McGinn J. Aston Villa 19. Ferguson L. Bologna 8. Gilmour B. Napoli 3. Robertson A. (C) Tottenham 11. Christie R. Bournemouth 9. McBurnie O. Hull City	1. Oblak J. (C) Atl. Madrid 2. Karnicnik Z. Maribor 23. Brekalo D. Orlando City 6. Bijol J. Leeds 17. Zec D. Holstein Kiel 13. Janza E. Gornik Zabrze 20. Matko A. Ujpest 4. Zabukovnik M. Celje 22. Gnezda Cerin A. Al Wahda 15. Sturm D. Slavia Prague 18. Vipotnik Z. Swansea
Substitutes
21. Bain S. (G) Falkirk 20. Bowie K. Sassuolo 16. Curtis F. Rangers 6. Doig J. Sassuolo 18. Graham L. Stoke City 2. Hickey A. Brentford 12. Kelly L. (G) Rangers 15. McPake J. Hearts 14. Miller L. Udinese 23. Montgomery K. Blackburn 22. Patterson N. Torino 10. Ure R. Sevilla	3. Balkovec J. Omonia 9. Begic T. Sampdoria 11. Celar Z. Basel 21. Drkusic V. Espanyol 10. Elsnik T. Crvena zvezda 19. Horvat T. Bristol City 5. Kuzmic S. Lorient 8. Lovric S. Udinese 14. Svetlin T. St Etienne 7. Urbancic J. O. Ljubljana 16. Vekic I. (G) Rijeka 12. Vidovsek M. (G) O. Ljubljana
Coaches
Pocognoli S.	Cesar B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Janza E. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Christie R. ⚽, McBurnie O. (A),
44', McGinn J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Zec D. 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Matko A. ⚽, Sturm D. (A),
66', Welsh S. ↓, Hickey A. ↑,
66', McBurnie O. ↓, Bowie K. ↑,
68', Binks L. 🟨,
71', 1 - 2, Sturm D. ⚽, Matko A. (A),
72', Christie R. ↓, McPake J. ↑,
73', Gannon-Doak B. ↓, Curtis F. ↑,
79', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Celar Z. ↑,
85', Zabukovnik M. 🟨,
87', McGinn J. ↓, Ure R. ↑,
89', Matko A. ↓, Kuzmic S. ↑,
90+2', Celar Z. 🟨,

Preview

Scotland is ranked FIFA: 42., and Slovenia is ranked FIFA: 56..

Bookmakers give the edge to Scotland for this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Scotland has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 1:0.8 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scotland
UEFA Nations League
03.10.26	North Macedonia - Scotland	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Scotland - Switzerland	0:3 ✺
26.09.26	Slovenia - Scotland	0:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
24.06.26	Scotland - Brazil	0:3 ✺
19.06.26	Scotland - Morocco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLTLL
- Slovenia
UEFA Nations League
03.10.26	Switzerland - Slovenia	2:1 ✺
29.09.26	Slovenia - North Macedonia	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Slovenia - Scotland	0:0 ✺
Friendly
07.06.26	Croatia - Slovenia	2:1 ✺
04.06.26	Slovenia - Cyprus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
26.09.26	Slovenia - Scotland	0:0
FIFA World Cup
08.10.17	Slovenia - Scotland	2:2
26.03.17	Scotland - Slovenia	1:0
Friendly
29.02.12	Slovenia - Scotland	1:1

Scotland - Slovenia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide