Match Info

3. Lig Group 3 - Round 22

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Sebat Gençlik		Tokat Belediye Plevne Spor

	1	X	2
	1.24	4.75	8.9
	1.23	5.45	11.32
	1.25	4.6	10
	1.19	5.2	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.31)	5 ↑ (3.98)	11.06 ↑ (7.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebat Gençlik
73.7%

Draw
18.1%

Tokat Belediye Plevne Spor
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

21.8%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

21.1%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebat Gençlik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebat Gençlik's performance.

Tokat Belediye Plevne Spor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebat Gençlik than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebat Gençlik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokat Belediye Plevne Spor than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Sebat Gençlik - Tokat Belediye Plevne Spor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.75 - Sebat Gençlik (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sebat Gençlik (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 1 - 0, Kupeli S. ⚽,
90', Unluer M. 🟥,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 9).

Sebat Gençlik is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tokat's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Sebat Gençlik is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Sebat Gençlik will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sebat Gençlik won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sebat Gençlik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebat Gençlik Spor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
15.02.26	52 Orduspor - Sebat Gençlik	1:1 ✺
09.02.26	Sebat Gençlik - Giresunspor	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Pazarspor - Sebat Gençlik	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Sebat Gençlik - Fatsa Belediyespor	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Artvin Hopaspor - Sebat Gençlik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWTWW
- Tokat Belediye Plevne Spor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
14.02.26	Tokat Belediye Plevne Spor - Orduspor 1967	4:0 ✺
08.02.26	1926 Bulancakspor - Tokat Belediye Plevne Spor	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Tokat Belediye Plevne Spor - Çayeli Spor	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Tokat Belediye Plevne Spor - Karabük İdmanyurdu	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Zonguldak Kömürspor - Tokat Belediye Plevne Spor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
17.03.24	Tokat Belediye Plevne Spor - Sebat Gençlik	0:0
05.11.23	Sebat Gençlik - Tokat Belediye Plevne Spor	2:1

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