Match Info

Prva NL - Round 10

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gradski stadion Sisak (Sisak) 🌤️ ...


	Segesta		Croatia Zmijavci

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.20	3.30
	2.05	3.20	3.10
	2.00	3.15	3.30
	1.99	3.47	3.33
	2.09	3.3	3.22	Watch
	1.97	3.40	3.25
	2.09	3.34	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.09)	3.29 ↑ (3.23)	3.28 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Segesta
44.8%

Draw
27.5%

Croatia Zmijavci
27.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27.7%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Segesta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Croatia Zmijavci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Segesta than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Croatia Zmijavci than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Segesta - Croatia Zmijavci Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Djilas I. (G) 6. Bilic K. 14. Brlek P. 13. Dalic V. 3. Godec N. 8. Jajalo I. 10. Kozic L. (C) 22. Majic T. 18. Mekic F. 9. Sanogo S. 25. Spehar D.	1. Gudelj M. (C) 2. Anthony R. 4. Condric D. 7. Gadze G. 15. Iyendjock J. 22. Jukic-Peladic T. 11. Kajtazi S. 20. Kanizaj V. 24. Matkovic M. 3. Milisic D. 5. Nazor K.
Substitutes
4. Bjelivuk I. 5. Chardey E. 16. Culina N. 12. Herceg L. (G) 23. Ivancic L. 17. Ivanisevic Dvornik S. 33. Kukoc T. 7. Kunert B. 15. Rados M.	23. Grgic B. 30. Lasic M. 26. Milardovic F. 12. Pelivan M. (G) 9. Pernar B. 16. Sabic F. 10. Sabic M. 19. Ugwuodo P. 17. Zuzul A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 🟨,
25', 🟨,
34', 🟨,
43', 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Kozic L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 🟨,
53', 🟨,
62', Nazor K. ↓, Ugwuodo P. ↑,
62', Gadze G. ↓, Grgic B. ↑,
62', Godec N. ↓, Chardey E. ↑,
62', Sanogo S. ↓, Ivanisevic Dvornik S. ↑,
62', Spehar D. ↓, Kukoc T. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Chardey E. ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 4th and 1st in the Promotion - HNL).

Segesta has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Croatia Zmijavci has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Segesta holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Segesta has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:4.

Specifically in home fixtures for Segesta against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:4 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Croatia Zmijavci	10	6	1	3	15:9	6	19
2	Segesta	10	5	2	3	16:12	4	17

Last Results with these Odds

Croatia Zmijavci - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 28.79%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Segesta
Croatian Prva NL
17.10.26	Cibalia - Segesta	1:4 ✺
11.10.26	Segesta - Dinamo II Zagreb	1:3 ✺
27.09.26	Segesta - Karlovac	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Mladost Ždralovi - Segesta	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Segesta - Dugopolje	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLTWW
- Croatia Zmijavci
Croatian Prva NL
18.10.26	Croatia Zmijavci - Mladost Ždralovi	3:1 ✺
11.10.26	Dugopolje - Croatia Zmijavci	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Croatia Zmijavci - Sesvete	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Kustošija - Croatia Zmijavci	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Croatia Zmijavci - Vukovar 91	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Cup
08.09.20	Segesta - Croatia Zmijavci	3:4

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