Match Info

Druga NL - Round 8

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Segesta		Grobničan

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.6	2.18
	2.67	3.43	2.2
	2.72	3.6	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.67)	3.54 ↑ (3.43)	2.2 (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Segesta
33.5%

Draw
25.4%

Grobničan
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

26%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

24.8%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Segesta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Grobničan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Segesta than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grobničan than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Segesta - Grobničan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', Marot V. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Ivancic L. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
67', 2 - 0, Sanogo S. ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, ⚽,
83', 3 - 1, ⚽,
84', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Druga NL (Relegation)).

In recent matches, Segesta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Grobničan is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Segesta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Grobničan has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Segesta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Segesta
Croatian Druga NL
04.10.25	Segesta - Kustošija	1:4 ✺
27.09.25	Uskok Klis - Segesta	5:1 ✺
20.09.25	Segesta - Bjelovar	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Lučko - Segesta	0:2 ✺
07.09.25	Radnik Križevci - Segesta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWWL
- NK Grobničan
Croatian Druga NL
27.09.25	Đakovo Croatia - Grobničan	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Jadran Luka Ploče - Grobničan	2:2 ✺
05.09.25	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Grobničan	3:3 ✺
30.08.25	Grobničan - Solin	0:2 ✺
22.08.25	Mladost Ždralovi - Grobničan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
26.10.24	Grobničan - Segesta	1:2

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