Match Info

Betway Premiership - Round 10

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Peter Mokaba Stadium (Polokwane)


	Sekhukhune United		Mamelodi Sundowns

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.3	1.71
	5.3	3.25	1.68
	6.26	3.41	1.68
	5.69	3.18	1.68	Watch
	5	3.1	1.7
	5.69	3.23	1.71	Watch
	6.33	3.25	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.57 ↑ (4.25)	3.25 ↑ (3.1)	1.68 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sekhukhune United
16.6%

Draw
28.5%

Mamelodi Sundowns
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

28.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

27.1%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sekhukhune United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sekhukhune United than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Sekhukhune United - Mamelodi Sundowns Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mamelodi Sundowns will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leaner R. (G) 14. Langa S. 3. Ndlovu B. 4. Cardoso D. (C) 25. Letlapa V. 15. Mkhize S. 8. Monare T. 28. Matsimbi T. 36. Phiri L. 10. Mncube V. 17. Grobler B.	1. Onyango D. (C) 27. Morena T. 37. Johannes K. 29. Lunga D. 3. Ndamane K. 8. Adams J. 7. Reisinho M. 21. Mkhulise S. 12. Leon B. 13. Rayners I. 9. Arthur Sales
Substitutes
9. Boyeli A. 7. Makgalwa K. 24. Malivha S. 20. Mampuru M. 21. Mojela L. B. 31. Mokoane T. 1. Nsabata T. (G) 45. Tlaka K. 29. Yamba T.	11. Allende M. 24. Cupido K. 43. Lethlaku K. 17. Matthews T. 6. Modiba A. 25. Mudau K. 26. Pieterse R. (G) 10. Santos N. 38. Shalulile P.
Coaches
Tinkler E.	Cardoso M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Matsimbi T. ↓, Yamba T. ↑,
18', Reisinho M. 🟨,
35', Ndamane K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Leon B. 🟨,
56', Ndlovu B. 🟨,
57', Johannes K. 🟨,
58', Rayners I. ↓, Matthews T. ↑,
58', Mkhulise S. ↓, Santos N. ↑,
59', Phiri L. ↓, Tlaka K. ↑,
60', Grobler B. ↓, Boyeli A. ↑,
77', Arthur Sales ↓, Shalulile P. ↑,
79', Santos N. 🟨,
81', Morena T. ↓, Mudau K. ↑,
81', Lunga D. ↓, Modiba A. ↑,
82', Langa S. ↓, Mokoane T. ↑,
83', Mncube V. ↓, Malivha S. ↑,
90', Mokoane T. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 1, Santos N. ⚽, Mudau K. (A),
90+4', 0 - 2, Leon B. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sekhukhune United won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mamelodi Sundowns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sekhukhune United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:19. (average 0.6:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sekhukhune United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mamelodi Sundowns	8	6	2	0	19:7	12	20
6	Sekhukhune	7	3	2	2	7:7	0	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sekhukhune United
South African Premier Soccer League
24.01.26	Sekhukhune United - Orlando Pirates	0:0 ✺
20.01.26	Sekhukhune United - Stellenbosch	0:1 ✺
03.12.25	Magesi - Sekhukhune United	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Marumo Gallants - Sekhukhune United	1:1 ✺
04.11.25	Sekhukhune United - Richards Bay	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWTT
- Mamelodi Sundowns
CAF Champions League
23.01.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman	2:2 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
19.01.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Orbit College	2:0 ✺
03.12.25	Siwelele - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
28.11.25	MC Alger - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Saint-Éloi Lupopo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

South African Nedbank Cup
28.03.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Sekhukhune United	1:0 ET
South African Premier Soccer League
26.02.25	Sekhukhune United - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:4
30.11.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Sekhukhune United	3:0
23.04.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Sekhukhune United	2:1
04.08.23	Sekhukhune United - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:2
28.01.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Sekhukhune United	2:0
20.08.22	Sekhukhune United - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:1

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