Match Info

Date: 12 June 2022, Sunday


	Senja		Lørenskog

	1	X	2
	9.25	6	1.21
	8.6	5.6	1.2
	7.71	5.87	1.23
	6.8	5.35	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.09 ↑ (6.2)	5.71 ↑ (5)	1.24 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Senja
11.2%

Draw
15.9%

Lørenskog
73%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

18.1%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

18%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Senja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Lørenskog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lørenskog's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Senja than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lørenskog than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lørenskog, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

Senja - Lørenskog Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Senja will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Lørenskog will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lørenskog: 15.4% – 84.6%.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Senja has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lørenskog is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lørenskog could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Senja have a series of guest games.

In this match Lørenskog is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Senja
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
03.06.22	Tromsø 2 - Senja	3:0 ✺
28.05.22	Funnefoss Vormsund - Senja	2:1 ✺
23.05.22	Senja - Strømsgodset 2	1:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
18.05.22	Harstad - Senja	2:1 ✺
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
14.05.22	Mjølner - Senja	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Lørenskog IK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
05.06.22	Lørenskog - Mjølner	3:1 ✺
29.05.22	Strømsgodset 2 - Lørenskog	5:3 ✺
22.05.22	Lørenskog - Lillestrøm 2	2:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
19.05.22	Lørenskog - Kongsvinger	1:2 ET ✺
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
14.05.22	Funnefoss Vormsund - Lørenskog	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLL

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