Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Senja		Skjervøy

	1	X	2
	2.95	4	1.85
	2.85	4.3	1.83
	2.83	4.5	1.86
	2.79	3.74	2.12
	3.1	4.33	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (3.05)	4.17 ↑ (4)	1.9 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Senja
31%

Draw
21.6%

Skjervøy
47.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.9%

22.8%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

22.8%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Senja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Skjervøy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Senja than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Skjervøy aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Senja - Skjervøy Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Senja will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Skjervøy will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Senja: 41.6% – 98.4%.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Skjervøy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Skjervøy will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Senja won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Senja won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Senja
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
09.10.22	Mjøndalen 2 - Senja	1:0 ✺
01.10.22	Senja - Fløya	2:1 ✺
25.09.22	Lillestrøm 2 - Senja	1:1 ✺
17.09.22	Senja - Bossekop	3:2 ✺
11.09.22	Gjelleråsen - Senja	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 LWTWL
- Skjervøy IK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
08.10.22	Skjervøy - Mjølner	3:1 ✺
02.10.22	Funnefoss Vormsund - Skjervøy	2:0 ✺
22.09.22	Fløya - Skjervøy	1:1 ✺
17.09.22	Skjervøy - Skjetten	4:3 ✺
10.09.22	Bossekop - Skjervøy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
30.04.22	Skjervøy - Senja	3:1
11.08.18	Senja - Skjervøy	4:1
21.04.18	Skjervøy - Senja	2:3
Norwegian NM Cup
13.04.16	Senja - Skjervøy	2:1 penalties

Senja - Skjervøy