Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium (Isfahan)


	Sepahan		Zob Ahan

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	5.5
	1.58	3.45	5.9
	1.57	3.4	5.99
	2.02	2.23	7.25	Watch
	1.61	3.42	5.97	Watch
	1.59	3.45	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.78)	3.24 ↑ (3)	6.07 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sepahan
56%

Draw
28.7%

Zob Ahan
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

30.8%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

29.9%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sepahan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Zob Ahan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sepahan than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zob Ahan than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Sepahan - Zob Ahan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Akhbari M. (G) 14. Yousefi A. 58. Daneshgar M. 97. Amini M. 28. Hajsafi E. 6. Haji Eidi A. 10. Alves R. 19. Limouchi M. 20. Aliyari M. 86. Shafiedoost A. 79. Lotfi M.	20. Noushi Soufiani D. (G) 23. Jeddi A. 4. Ghaderi A. 6. Mohammadi N. 19. Ghazipour P. 71. Mortazavi A. 88. Shoushtari H. 57. Taherkhani S. 17. Jalaleddin A. 70. Latifi O. 7. Mohammadi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Mohammadi N. 🟨,
38', Mohammadi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', 🟨,
62', Mortazavi A. ↓, Pahlevan E. ↑,
74', 🟨,
83', Abolfazi M. ↓, Zaimovic J. ↑,
85', Noushi Soufiani D. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sepahan won 4.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Zob Ahan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sepahan is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sepahan won 11 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sepahan won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:8. (average 1.5:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Sepahan - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 52.07%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sepahan FC
AFC Champions League 2
30.09.25	Sepahan - ATK Mohun Bagan	N/A ✺
Iran Pro League
26.09.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Sepahan	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Sepahan - Tractor Sazi	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
16.09.25	Al-Hussein Irbid - Sepahan	1:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
12.09.25	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Sepahan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 ?WLLT
- Zob Ahan
Iran Pro League
26.09.25	Zob Ahan - Aluminium Arak	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	Fajr Sepasi - Zob Ahan	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Zob Ahan - Mes Rafsanjan	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Esteghlal - Zob Ahan	3:3 ✺
18.08.25	Zob Ahan - Paykan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
21.02.25	Sepahan - Zob Ahan	4:1
22.09.24	Zob Ahan - Sepahan	1:1
17.04.24	Sepahan - Zob Ahan	1:0
16.08.23	Zob Ahan - Sepahan	0:2
14.02.23	Sepahan - Zob Ahan	2:1
05.09.22	Zob Ahan - Sepahan	1:1
23.02.22	Sepahan - Zob Ahan	0:0

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