Match Info

Superliga - Round 11

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadionul Sepsi (Sfantu Gheorghe) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	20:00	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Romania	21:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV


	Sepsi OSK		FC Dinamo Bucureşti

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.8	1.57	Watch
	4.60	4.00	1.58
	4.6	3.8	1.6
	5.26	4.15	1.64
	4.99	4.06	1.62	Watch
	5.15	4.05	1.58
	4.88	3.94	1.61	Watch
	4.5	3.85	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↑ (3.85)	3.96 ↑ (3.38)	1.6 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sepsi OSK
19.2%

Draw
23.3%

FC Dinamo Bucureşti
57.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.3%

27.6%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

27.1%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sepsi OSK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sepsi OSK's form might have worsened.

FC Dinamo Bucureşti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FC Dinamo Bucureşti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sepsi OSK than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dinamo Bucureşti than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FC Dinamo Bucureşti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Sepsi OSK - FC Dinamo Bucureşti Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Sepsi will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). FC Dinamo Bucureşti will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for FC Dinamo Bucureşti: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. FC Dinamo Bucureşti (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Sepsi (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sepsi (votes: 1 - 50%). FC Dinamo Bucureşti (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Lazar D. (G) 2. Gustavo Cascardo 82. Virtej D. 31. Rose L. 3. Vianna F. 28. Daguin V. 6. Paun N. I. (C) 7. Silaghi R. 17. Andrei D. 14. Mawa M. 23. Batzula H.	36. Bellaarouch A. (G) 20. Irimia D. 44. Pascual M. 15. Stoinov N. 31. Oprut R. 77. Armstrong D. 29. Soro A. 90. Marginean I. 10. Cirjan C. (C) 97. Zandbergen D. 9. Karamoko M.
Substitutes
77. Aganovic A. 27. Cimpean R. 9. Cmiljanic B. 88. Davordzie C. 21. Dobrosavlevici A. 19. Ghimfus G. 33. Gyenge S. (G) 4. Karamoko S. 8. Keita A. 11. Oberlin D. 25. Otelita B.	22. Benavides D. 30. Dutu M. 5. Fetai I. 18. Hintsa O. 26. Mazilu A. 21. Mihai C. 66. Opris S. 8. Pinto D. 19. Radu R. 73. Rosca A. (G) 23. Tarba I. 6. Verreth M.
Coaches
Burca O.	Campos N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', Gustavo Cascardo 🟨,
15', Gustavo Cascardo ↓, Otelita B. ↑,
24', 0 - 1, Pascual M. ⚽, Armstrong D. (A),
36', 0 - 2, Soro A. ⚽, Armstrong D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Mawa M. ↓, Cmiljanic B. ↑,
52', Daguin V. ↓, Oberlin D. ↑,
52', Batzula H. ↓, Cimpean R. ↑,
62', Zandbergen D. ↓, Verreth M. ↑,
62', Armstrong D. ↓, Pinto D. ↑,
68', Irimia D. ↓, Benavides D. ↑,
68', Karamoko M. ↓, Tarba I. ↑,
85', Silaghi R. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
90+2', Cmiljanic B. 🟨,
90+3', Cirjan C. ↓, Hintsa O. ↑,
90+4', Tarba I. 🟨,
90+5', Oberlin D. 🟨,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th in the Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 1st in the Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sepsi won 3.

Sepsi is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

FC Dinamo Bucureşti is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

FC Dinamo Bucureşti could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to FC Dinamo Bucureşti for this game.

Confirmed absences for Sepsi: Bamgboye F. (Inactive) Matei C. (Doping) Mawa M. (Inactive) Oberlin D. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for FC Dinamo Bucureşti: Epassy D. (Knee Injury) Puscas G. (Hernia).

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Sepsi has recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:15 (averaging 1.4:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sepsi against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 11:8 goals (averaging 1.4:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dinamo Bucuresti	13	9	3	1	29:9	20	30
12	Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe	13	3	5	5	8:18	-10	14

Outrights of Romanian SuperLiga for now

Dinamo Bucuresti: 28.36%

Last Results with these Odds

FC Dinamo Bucureşti - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 48.13%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACS Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe
Club Friendly
26.09.26	Sepsi OSK - Gloria Bistrița	1:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
18.09.26	UTA Arad - Sepsi OSK	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Sepsi OSK - CFR Cluj	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Botoșani - Sepsi OSK	5:0 ✺
Romanian Cup
01.09.26	Sepsi OSK - CFR Cluj	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWLL
- FC Dinamo Bucureşti
Romanian SuperLiga
20.09.26	FC Dinamo Bucureşti - Farul Constanța	4:0 ✺
11.09.26	Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - FC Dinamo Bucureşti	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	FC Dinamo Bucureşti - FCSB	2:1 ✺
Romanian Cup
02.09.26	Sporting Liești - FC Dinamo Bucureşti	1:4 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
29.08.26	Corvinul Hunedoara - FC Dinamo Bucureşti	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
30.11.24	FC Dinamo Bucureşti - Sepsi OSK	1:1
27.07.24	Sepsi OSK - FC Dinamo Bucureşti	1:1
04.12.23	Sepsi OSK - FC Dinamo Bucureşti	2:1
31.07.23	FC Dinamo Bucureşti - Sepsi OSK	0:3
Romanian Cup
08.11.22	FC Dinamo Bucureşti - Sepsi OSK	2:3
Romanian SuperLiga
20.03.22	FC Dinamo Bucureşti - Sepsi OSK	0:0
01.03.22	FC Dinamo Bucureşti - Sepsi OSK	1:3

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