Match Info

Superliga - Relegation Group - Round 6

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stadionul Sepsi (Sfantu Gheorghe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 2


	Sepsi OSK		Oţelul Galaţi

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	4.1	Watch
	2.1	3	3.5
	1.95	3.25	3.85
	2	3.29	4.26
	1.93	3.28	4.13	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.5
	1.97	3.22	4.13	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.2)	3.17 ↑ (3.1)	3.92 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sepsi OSK
46.7%

Draw
29.4%

Oţelul Galaţi
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.9%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

28.7%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sepsi OSK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Oţelul Galaţi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sepsi OSK than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sepsi OSK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oţelul Galaţi than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oţelul Galaţi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Sepsi OSK - Oţelul Galaţi Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Sepsi will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Oţelul will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oţelul: 67.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Oţelul (2.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Oţelul Galaţi will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Oţelul (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Niczuly R. (G) 25. Otelita B. 4. Harut D. 82. Ninaj B. 2. Dumitrescu A. 5. Mino S. 10. Matei C. (C) 8. Skorup D. 26. Mailat S. 11. Oberlin D. 9. Coman M.	1. Dur-Bozoanca C. (G) 2. Zhelev M. 6. Cisse J. 5. Stevanovic N. 28. Silva M. 10. Bourard S. 66. Lameira J. (C) 21. Teles 7. Frederic 55. Bicfalvi E. 17. Tanasa R.
Substitutes
12. Babunski D. 23. Batzula H. 20. Draghiceanu M. 7. El Sawy O. 98. Gedo H. (G) 19. Ghimfus G. 59. Kallaku S. 77. Neskovic M. 17. Oroian D. 18. Siger D. 24. Simic M. 3. Stefan F.	77. Andronache L. 4. Angha M. 22. Bani A. 3. Bonilla J. 19. Cojocaru M. 97. Hofman A. 27. Maftei D. 12. Paharnicu D. (G) 91. Plaza S. 20. Rosu N. 14. Rus A. 9. Stan A.
Coaches
Munteanu D.	Balint L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', Niczuly R. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Teles (Pen),
24', Mino S. 🟨,
33', 0 - 2, Tanasa R. ⚽, Frederic (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mailat S. ↓, Draghiceanu M. ↑,
46', Matei C. ↓, Neskovic M. ↑,
46', Rosu N. 🟨,
51', Skorup D. ↓, El Sawy O. ↑,
56', Ninaj B. 🟨,
66', Oberlin D. ↓, Kallaku S. ↑,
66', Coman M. ↓, Babunski D. ↑,
75', Bourard S. ↓, Rosu N. ↑,
80', 0 - 3, Tanasa R. ⚽, Silva M. (A),
81', Bicfalvi E. ↓, Plaza S. ↑,
82', Tanasa R. ↓, Hofman A. ↑,
88', Teles ↓, Cojocaru M. ↑,
88', Frederic ↓, Angha M. ↑,

Preview

Sepsi has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Oţelul is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sepsi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sepsi won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sepsi won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Oţelul Galaţi - the odds 3.31 are the expected chance of winning is 28%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACS Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe
Romanian SuperLiga
18.04.25	UTA Arad - Sepsi OSK	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Sepsi OSK - Farul Constanța	1:4 ✺
04.04.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - Sepsi OSK	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Sepsi OSK - Hermannstadt	0:2 ✺
17.03.25	Sepsi OSK - Gloria Buzău	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL
- Oţelul Galaţi
Romanian SuperLiga
18.04.25	Oţelul Galaţi - Unirea Slobozia	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Botoșani - Oţelul Galaţi	0:1 ✺
04.04.25	Oţelul Galaţi - Politehnica Iași	1:0 ✺
31.03.25	Gloria Buzău - Oţelul Galaţi	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Oţelul Galaţi - CSM Focșani	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
26.01.25	Sepsi OSK - Oţelul Galaţi	2:0
Romanian Cup
17.12.24	Oţelul Galaţi - Sepsi OSK	0:0
Romanian SuperLiga
30.08.24	Oţelul Galaţi - Sepsi OSK	2:0
12.12.23	Oţelul Galaţi - Sepsi OSK	2:3
07.08.23	Sepsi OSK - Oţelul Galaţi	1:1

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