Match Info

Liga 3 - Seria 2 - Round 8

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Sepsi Sfântu Gheorghe 2		Păuleşti

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.7	4.05
	1.59	3.8	3.9
	1.71	3.74	4.25	Watch
	1.72	3.87	4.13
	2.1	3.33	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.75)	3.69 ↑ (3.6)	3.83 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sepsi Sfântu Gheorghe 2
51.6%

Draw
24.6%

Păuleşti
23.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33%

25.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

24.3%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sepsi Sfântu Gheorghe 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sepsi Sfântu Gheorghe 2's performance.

Păuleşti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Păuleşti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sepsi Sfântu Gheorghe 2 than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sepsi Sfântu Gheorghe 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Păuleşti than the current prediction. (+19.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Păuleşti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sepsi Sfântu Gheorghe 2 - Păuleşti Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sepsi 2 will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Sepsi 2 (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sepsi Sfântu Gheorghe 2 will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sepsi 2 (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 3 ~ Seria 2 (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion Group: )).

Sepsi 2 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Păuleşti is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Păuleşti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sepsi 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sepsi 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 4.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sepsi Sfântu Gheorghe 2
Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 2
23.09.25	Petrolul Ploieşti 2 - Sepsi Sfântu Gheorghe 2	3:0 ✺
19.09.25	Sepsi Sfântu Gheorghe 2 - Târgu Secuiesc	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Unirea Braniştea - Sepsi Sfântu Gheorghe 2	3:1 ✺
05.09.25	Sepsi Sfântu Gheorghe 2 - Sporting Liești	1:3 ✺
29.08.25	Sepsi Sfântu Gheorghe 2 - Plopeni	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLLT
- CS Păuleşti
Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 2
04.10.25	Păuleşti - Râmnicu Sărat	4:2 ✺
26.09.25	Blejoi - Păuleşti	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Păuleşti - Victoria Traian	6:0 ✺
20.09.25	Plopeni - Păuleşti	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Păuleşti - Brăila	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 5
19.05.23	Sepsi Sfântu Gheorghe 2 - Păuleşti	8:0
21.04.23	Păuleşti - Sepsi Sfântu Gheorghe 2	4:2
12.11.22	Păuleşti - Sepsi Sfântu Gheorghe 2	1:5
10.09.22	Sepsi Sfântu Gheorghe 2 - Păuleşti	1:1

Sepsi Sfântu Gheorghe 2 - Păuleşti