Match Info

Date: 3 November 2021, Wednesday


	Septemvri Simitli		Dobrudzha Dobrich

	1	X	2
	1.74	3.4	4.2
	1.74	3.48	5.01
	1.67	3.2	5
	1.71	3.52	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.86)	3.4 ↑ (3.31)	4.7 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Septemvri Simitli
53.5%

Draw
27%

Dobrudzha Dobrich
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27.6%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

18.2%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Septemvri Simitli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Dobrudzha Dobrich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Simitli than the current prediction. (-21.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Septemvri Simitli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dobrudzha Dobrich than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dobrudzha Dobrich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Septemvri Simitli has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Dobrudzha Dobrich is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dobrudzha Dobrich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Septemvri Simitli is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Septemvri Simitli won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Septemvri Simitli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Septemvri Simitli
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
30.10.21	Lovech - Septemvri Simitli	2:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
26.10.21	Levski Sofia - Septemvri Simitli	7:0 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
23.10.21	Septemvri Simitli - Maritsa Plovdiv	1:1 ✺
19.10.21	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Septemvri Simitli	2:0 ✺
02.10.21	Septemvri Simitli - Spartak Varna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTLL
- PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
30.10.21	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:1 ✺
23.10.21	Ludogorets II - Dobrudzha Dobrich	5:0 ✺
16.10.21	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Levski Lom	3:0 ✺
02.10.21	Marek Dupnitsa - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:1 ✺
26.09.21	Lovech - Dobrudzha Dobrich	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
21.05.21	Septemvri Simitli - Dobrudzha Dobrich	3:0
12.12.20	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Septemvri Simitli	0:2

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