Match Info

Date: 29 April 2021, Thursday


	Septemvri Simitli		Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.35	3.8
	1.89	3.57	4.1
	1.87	3.42	3.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.87)	3.45 ↑ (3.3)	3.91 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Septemvri Simitli
49.6%

Draw
26.8%

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

27.6%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

21%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Septemvri Simitli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Septemvri Simitli than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Septemvri Simitli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

No spectators.

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 14).

Septemvri Simitli is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gorna Oryahovitsa has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Septemvri Simitli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Gorna Oryahovitsa have a series of guest games.

In this match Septemvri Simitli is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Septemvri Simitli won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Septemvri Simitli
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
24.04.21	Sportist Svoge - Septemvri Simitli	3:1 ✺
19.04.21	Septemvri Simitli - Ludogorets II	1:1 ✺
15.04.21	Sozopol - Septemvri Simitli	0:0 ✺
05.04.21	Septemvri Simitli - Yantra Gabrovo	1:1 ✺
20.03.21	Hebar Pazardzhik - Septemvri Simitli	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTTTL
- Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
24.04.21	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Yantra Gabrovo	0:1 ✺
19.04.21	Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	2:1 ✺
10.04.21	Strumska Slava Radomir - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1:1 ✺
22.03.21	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	5:1 ✺
11.03.21	Lovech - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
07.11.20	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Septemvri Simitli	3:0

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