Match Info

UEFA Nations League - League A - Round 1

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Rajko Mitić (Belgrade) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	20:45	SuperSport 4
Argentina	15:45	Disney+
Armenia	22:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	04:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Stan Sport
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	15:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	21:45	Nova Sport
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	15:45	Disney+
Colombia	13:45	Disney+
Croatia	20:45	SportKlub 6
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 3
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Estonia	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+
France	20:45	L'Equipe Live Foot
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	Alpha TV, Nova Sports Start
Hungary	20:45	Match 4
Iceland	18:45	Viaplay
India	00:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kenya	21:45	Gotv
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 2
Lithuania	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Mexico	12:45	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New Zealand	06:45	beIN Connect
Nigeria	19:45	SuperSport LaLiga
Norway	20:45	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	23:45	Tapmad
Peru	13:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Romania	21:45	Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	21:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 2, RTS 1, RTS 2
Slovenia	20:45	SportKlub 1
South Africa	20:45	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	03:45	SPOTV Now
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	21:45	Exxen
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	Fox Soccer Plus, Tubi TV
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+


	Serbia		Greece

	1	X	2
	3.30	3.30	2.25
	3.00	3.25	2.25
	2.95	3.30	2.35
	3.36	3.46	2.33
	2.93	3.29	2.59	Watch
	3.30	3.40	2.20
	3.33	3.33	2.27	Watch
	3.10	3.30	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.6)	3.33 ↓ (3.38)	2.31 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serbia
30.2%

Draw
28.6%

Greece
41.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.6%

28.1%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serbia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serbia's form might have worsened.

Greece has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Greece's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.4%	31.2%	34.4%

Serbia - Greece Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Serbia will win (votes: 11 - 34.4%). Greece will win (votes: 11 - 34.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Serbia: 17.9% – 50.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Serbia (votes: 4 - 40%). Greece (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (1.61) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH 0 - Greece (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Greece (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Serbia (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Greece (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) Napoli 13. Simic N. Partizan 16. Erakovic S. Samsunspor 3. Pavlovic S. AC Milan 11. Kostic F. PSV 14. Zivkovic A. PAOK 5. Maksimovic N. Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 20. Milinkovic-Savic S. Al Hilal 18. Cvetkovic M. Anderlecht 8. Jovic L. AEK 10. Tadic D. (C) Nijmegen	12. Tzolakis K. (G) Hull City 2. Vagiannidis G. Sporting CP 4. Mavropanos K. West Ham 5. Retsos P. Olympiacos Piraeus 21. Tsimikas K. Liverpool 19. Karetsas K. Dortmund 6. Kourbelis D. Asteras Tripolis 20. Zafeiris C. PAOK 10. Tzolis C. Arsenal 11. Kostoulas C. Brighton 14. Pavlidis V. (C) Benfica
Substitutes
15. Babic S. Spartak Moscow 4. Dragojevic V. Rangers 6. Gudelj N. Getafe 9. Joveljic D. Seattle Sounders 19. Kostov V. Crvena zvezda 22. Lukic S. Ipswich 1. Petrovic D. (G) Bournemouth 21. Samardzic L. Atalanta 7. Stankovic A. Inter 12. Stankovic F. (G) Venezia 2. Sukacev P. Vojvodina 17. Terzic A. Frosinone	15. Androutsos A. OFI Crete 9. Douvikas A. Como 8. Ioannidis F. Sporting CP 3. Koulierakis K. AS Roma 22. Kyriakopoulos G. Panathinaikos 13. Mandas C. (G) Lazio 7. Masouras G. Neom SC 18. Michailidis G. PAOK 23. Mouzakitis C. Hull City 17. Saliakas M. Olympiacos Piraeus 16. Tetteh A. Panathinaikos 1. Vlachodimos O. (G) Sevilla
Coaches
Paunovic V.	Jovanovic I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Zivkovic A. ⚽, Tadic D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Cvetkovic M. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
63', Kostic F. 🟨,
63', Kostoulas C. ↓, Ioannidis F. ↑,
71', Kostic F. ↓, Terzic A. ↑,
71', Jovic L. ↓, Joveljic D. ↑,
72', Terzic A. 🟨,
74', 1 - 1, Tzolis C. ⚽, Pavlidis V. (A),
74', Pavlidis V. ↓, Tetteh A. ↑,
74', Karetsas K. ↓, Douvikas A. ↑,
81', Simic N. ↓, Gudelj N. ↑,
83', Zafeiris C. 🟨,
90', Tadic D. ↓, Sukacev P. ↑,
90+1', Mavropanos K. ↓, Michailidis G. ↑,
90+1', Zafeiris C. ↓, Androutsos A. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 2, Douvikas A. ⚽, Tsimikas K. (A),

Preview

Serbia is ranked FIFA: 40., and Greece is ranked FIFA: 46..

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Serbia: Ivanovic M. (Hamstring Injury) Milenkovic N. (Muscle Injury) Milosavljevic V. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Greece: Giannoulis D. (Inactive) Hatzidiakos P. (Inactive) Konstantelias G. (Knee Injury).

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Serbia has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Outrights of UEFA Nations League for now

Greece: 3.08%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serbia
Friendly
04.06.26	Mexico - Serbia	5:1 ✺
31.05.26	Cape Verde - Serbia	3:0 ✺
31.03.26	Serbia - Saudi Arabia	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Spain - Serbia	3:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
16.11.25	Serbia - Latvia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLW
- Greece
Friendly
07.06.26	Greece - Italy	0:1 ✺
04.06.26	Sweden - Greece	2:2 ✺
31.03.26	Hungary - Greece	0:0 ✺
27.03.26	Greece - Paraguay	0:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
18.11.25	Belarus - Greece	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
18.11.14	Greece - Serbia	0:2

Serbia - Greece